Aurora Capital Group Releases Risk Management and Liquidity Manual V1.0, Completes Multi-Scenario Drawdown and Liquidity Stress Testing
In January 2019 , Aurora Capital Group officially released its Risk Management and Liquidity Manual V1.0. This marked the first time since its founding that the company fully codified its internal risk control framework, liquidity management processes, and operational guidelines for responding to extreme market scenarios. This move marked the beginning of Aurora’s in-depth development of risk governance and execution standards, following the completion of its investment research system, operational channels, and client expansion. This move laid the institutional foundation for the robust operation of its global allocation strategy in complex environments.
The core content of the manual covers three main sections: multi-scenario drawdown assessment, cross-asset liquidity tiering, and emergency response procedures. During the design process, Aurora’s Risk Management Committee, in collaboration with investment research teams in New York and Madrid, used multiple market turmoil scenarios, including the 2008 financial crisis, the 2011 European debt crisis, the impact of the 2015 RMB exchange rate reform, and the sharp drop in US stocks in the fourth quarter of 2018, as sample scenarios. Integrating the characteristics of Aurora’s multi-asset portfolio, they developed stress testing and drawdown tolerance models. The test results not only cover traditional stocks and bonds, but also extend to liquidity simulations for commodities, foreign exchange, and selected private equity holdings, ensuring that the model reflects real-world market liquidity characteristics.
This test incorporated a parallel approach of quantitative simulation and scenario overlay analysis. The quantitative simulation, led by the New York team, used Monte Carlo random path generation, correlation matrix perturbations, and volatility cluster analysis to predict the portfolio’s drawdown under different shock frequencies. The scenario overlay analysis, led by the Madrid team, combined political, geopolitical, and policy variables in Europe and emerging markets to construct possible black swan scenarios. This dual-path analysis enabled Aurora to proactively predict the portfolio’s funding curve and liquidity needs under various stress conditions in highly uncertain markets.
In terms of liquidity management, the manual clearly categorizes assets into five tiers, ranging from cash and government bonds (capable of liquidation on a T+0 basis) to unlisted equities and structured credit instruments (capable of liquidity exceeding 180 days). Each tier is assigned a target ratio and upper limit. Aurora also established a cross-market liquidity monitoring dashboard, tracking bid-ask spreads, trading depth, and financing availability across different assets in real time. This ensures that when markets experience unexpected fluctuations, the portfolio can quickly release cash flow without sacrificing core allocations.
In addition to the institutionalized technical framework, the manual also defines the chain of command and communication process for emergency decision-making. When triggered by extreme market events, the Investment Committee and the Risk Control Committee will immediately convene a joint conference call across time zones. New York will oversee the US dollar asset disposal strategy, while Madrid will lead the response to the euro and other markets. Risk warnings and implementation instructions will be issued to all clients within 24 hours. This mechanism was tested through simulations during the testing phase to ensure efficient team collaboration under real-world pressure.
The release of V1.0 of the “Risk Management and Liquidity Manual” not only improves its internal management system but also directly reassures clients. Aurora plans to use this manual as a core communication tool for clients over the next six months, demonstrating its risk management capabilities to the initial pilot accounts and potential partners. The manual will be continuously updated based on actual operational performance. For an emerging institution with a core cross-market, cross-asset, and cross-currency strategy, stability and predictability are often more crucial for building long-term trust than single-year high returns.
To date, Aurora Capital Group, under its dual-hub strategy in the US and Europe, has initially completed the construction of a closed-loop system encompassing its investment research framework, operational channels, client acquisition, and risk governance. With the implementation of its “Risk Management and Liquidity Manual,” the company has entered a phase of capacity to handle larger asset sizes and more complex market environments, fully preparing for the upcoming round of global market volatility.
